SerialWinner
Member
Been checking out DiceData on YouTube lately—he’s been running Craps simulations on popular strategies, and the results are pretty interesting. One big takeaway is that Dark Side strategies (Don’t Pass/Don’t Come) seem to be the only ones consistently coming out ahead, at least under the sim parameters he’s using. As someone who leans toward DP/DC betting, this actually tracks with what I’ve seen at real tables. Most craps tables are choppy, and the majority of shooters aren’t making multiple points, which lines up with his findings.
That said, we all know the biggest risk with Dark Side play—when a shooter goes on a heater, knocking off your numbers with back-to-back points or catching a string of come-out 7s and 11s, your bankroll can take a serious hit before you get a chance to recover. The best move is probably just pausing play when a hot shooter starts wrecking your bets, but let’s be real—standing at the table for 10+ rolls without playing feels awful, even if it’s the smart bankroll move.
Curious if anyone else has been following DiceData’s work? The math behind his simulations is solid, and I’d love to hear thoughts on his results—especially from other Dark Side players. Do you think his findings hold up, or are there variables missing that could change the outcome?
That said, we all know the biggest risk with Dark Side play—when a shooter goes on a heater, knocking off your numbers with back-to-back points or catching a string of come-out 7s and 11s, your bankroll can take a serious hit before you get a chance to recover. The best move is probably just pausing play when a hot shooter starts wrecking your bets, but let’s be real—standing at the table for 10+ rolls without playing feels awful, even if it’s the smart bankroll move.
Curious if anyone else has been following DiceData’s work? The math behind his simulations is solid, and I’d love to hear thoughts on his results—especially from other Dark Side players. Do you think his findings hold up, or are there variables missing that could change the outcome?